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President Obama: Why He'll Win in 2012

In effectively upsetting both liberals and conservatives in his policy decisions, he has positioned himself perfectly in the middle policy wise.

Hey Patchers, its your favorite blogger's favorite blogger here! I have a busy weekend of grading coming up so forgive my ramble.

I am putting on my prognostication hat, and declaring Barack Obama the victor of the 2012 election. Although you may think it is premature to declare him the winner, I cannot see how he will lose given the Republican field.

For any of my friends on the right who see President Obama's policies as his weakness, I beg you to take a closer look at what he has done. If you don't feel like doing so, I'll give you a hint: he totally co-opted pieces of your platform.

"In fact, I might have to credit him with being the most centrist President I can remember..."

If any of us remember Bill Clinton's first run up to the 1996 election, he made a hard right turn. President Obama made a number of right turns along the way, and not all at once like Clinton did. In fact, I might have to credit him with being the most centrist President I can remember, given that my memory only goes back to President Reagan. President Obama has made right turns slowly along the way.

President Obama has promoted or continued policies championed for years by Republicans. Sure, he has carried the Democratic banner, but he has effectively pissed off both camps of voters which makes him perfect for the important independent vote.

In co-opting Republican policies, he has effectively pushed the current Republican field far to the right of most people. By moving to the center earlier, he has cinched his re-election.

I should also mention that he will likely raise $1 billion. That's an issue for another day.

This post is contributed by a community member. The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Patch Media Corporation. Everyone is welcome to submit a post to Patch. If you'd like to post a blog, go here to get started.

Jay Sykes February 29, 2012 at 04:16 PM
@DJ.... Yes, Bush started the auto-bailout, but, Obama significantly reconstructed it prior to its implementation. One of the most significant changes was the awarding of an equity stake to the union, at the expense and against the will of of the bond holders. In bankruptcy law the bond holders are the highest priority secured creditors, after both withholding taxes and payroll due are paid out. I don't recall that the union had any legal financial interest in the assets.
Steve February 29, 2012 at 05:06 PM
You're ignoring the fact that Obama paid the unions back by giving them a corporation, bailed out by the tax payers. I highly doubt Bush would have even had a dream about doing this. Obama can also own up to this and the lack of any bit of restraint to his spending. http://www.usdebtclock.org/
St. Swithin February 29, 2012 at 05:16 PM
Steve accusing others of ignoring the facts. Heh. Looking at the GM org chart, I don't see union members in any of the top positions, so I am not sure what Steve is talking about. Looking for details on the bailout I did find this "In virtually every respect, the concessions that the UAW agreed to are more aggressive than what the Bush Administration originally demanded" http://tiny.cc/8rwzn
Steve February 29, 2012 at 05:44 PM
You don't know how GM and Chrysler were restructured (aka bailedout) to give the UAW shares to fund it's bankrupt pensions and benefits?
Randy1949 February 29, 2012 at 05:50 PM
@J.B. Schmidt -- "Mandating contraceptives be given free via insurance policies." Actually, the mandate said that all preventive services would come with no deductible or co-pay. It's a sensible 'stitch in time saves nine' policy. And then it was decided that contraceptive fell under the definition of 'preventive' which they are. They prevent a more expensive outcome -- obstetrical care and a whole new person on the policy who needs those vaccines and well-baby checks -- and increase the health of women and the children the give birth to by limiting and spacing pregnancies.
J. B. Schmidt February 29, 2012 at 06:27 PM
@DJ I have little love for Bush regarding fiscal policy. If you wish to win me over by saying that it is ok because a republican did it also, seems a little childish. The medical drug plan was dumb and Obamacare will cripple our economy. If Obamacare is such a god-send, please explain to me why premiums keep increasing after I was told they would would not by the President. As for taxes, a deduction here or there and the stopping of the payroll tax, do not true tax cuts make. They are temporary and business has not responded, because his intentions are to reverse the Bush tax cut and the payroll tax cut. Both of which mean an increased cost to business. Make them permanent and we can talk. Reagan cut the top marginal rate some 30 percentage points and you want to compare that to Obama. Ha! I wish. As for GM, we spent enough to give each employ $250K. We will never see the return on the tens of billions we invested. Had we not, GM would not have burned to the ground as liberal would have us believe. It would not have even closed its doors. It had value, value being sucked out by the leeches in the unions. An investment capital company would have come it, purchased it, restructured and made it profitable. Instead, we took billions out of the pocket of the successful to funnel into GM. What did that cost us, since real unemployment is still well over 10%, it has cost us a lot? Please show me 'all' the economists talking up the economy.
DJ Bradley February 29, 2012 at 07:00 PM
JB, I'm not praising Bush fiscal policy--the idea was that Obama made moves to the right in certain areas.
Lyle Ruble February 29, 2012 at 08:28 PM
@DJ Bradley...You nailed it.
Keith Schmitz February 29, 2012 at 08:45 PM
What the hell is with this irrational hatred of unions? In Germany, corporate boards have union representation. They also have a middle class, something that is shrinking in this country. The unions BTW took a haircut on this deal.
Keith Schmitz February 29, 2012 at 08:48 PM
Ford didn't because the same suppliers they use didn't fail because GM and Chrysler didn't declare bankruptcy. If we listened to Mitt Rawmoney and let the car companies fail, the whole mid-West would have been sucked down with them. Johnson Controls, BTW, would have taken a major hit. But hey, when you have a foaming at the mouth hatred of unions why let a few pesky facts get in the way.
J. B. Schmidt February 29, 2012 at 08:59 PM
@Keith By haircut, you mean gained controlling shares of GM and Chrysler.
St. Swithin February 29, 2012 at 09:39 PM
@J.W., The UAW got 17.5% of GM stock to put into a trust fund. Perhaps you have a different definition of "controlling" than I do. In return, GM got to stop paying pensions. All you are doing is going further into the weeds here. The bottom line is that the auto bailout is not an issue that will cost Obama votes and will probably win Michigan for him. Republican second-guessing of the way he handled it is just sour grapes.
St. Swithin February 29, 2012 at 09:40 PM
Oops. I meant @J.B.
Keith Schmitz February 29, 2012 at 09:54 PM
New workers are going to hired on at $14 an hour.
Keith Schmitz February 29, 2012 at 09:59 PM
JB, step away from your blind union hatred for a second. " An investment capital company would have come it, purchased it, restructured and made it profitable. " Except, there was no capital to be had. In fact Rawmoney's company bain Capital passed on doing any thing. But putting up the mid-west economy in flames is worth it if it means getting at the unions.
J. B. Schmidt February 29, 2012 at 09:59 PM
@St. Swithin I have been called worse. The UAW owns 17.5% of GM, correct and 65% Chrysler. While it is less of an impact on GM, when one entity holds those kind of shares it is be controlling.
Bren February 29, 2012 at 10:06 PM
Ford has a huge corner of the small car market in Europe and Asia. The last car I rented overseas was a Ford Focus (2009).
J. B. Schmidt February 29, 2012 at 10:07 PM
@Keith My hatred for unions is not blind. I see everything they have done to destroy the private industry and attack the tax payer. They served the employees 100 years ago and got the country through some dark times of worker safety and poor treatment; however, after about 1950 they became self serving businesses and an arm of the Democratic Party. Imagine a republican president taking over a company and then giving an amount of its control to a top campaign contributor. Everyone is concerned with the workers for GM. Where is the money coming from we are throwing at these companies? Do you liberals have a money tree some where the I am not aware of? OH!, that is right, the rich. They have endless amounts of money. Maybe Buffett will Bailout the US. Nope, he can't even give more then his secretary. We are building Volts at the expense of the country as a whole, thanks Obama.
DJ Bradley February 29, 2012 at 10:16 PM
JB, the taxpayers subsidize companies of all shapes and sizes. We give private corporations billions of dollars each year. So I take it you don't agree with the main idea here that President Obama has been largely centrist president? Is he as left-leaning as you thought he would be? I lean pretty far left, and he's nowhere near my ballpark.
J. B. Schmidt February 29, 2012 at 10:24 PM
@DJ Businesses don't need nor should be given taxpayer money. Lower the tax rate and eliminate loopholes. Companies fail daily, most business start ups don't make the 5 year mark. Should prop them up as well? Left or right is matter of perspective. Just because he is not as left as you, does not make him centrist. The same could go for my perspective, but I doubt it, I am usually not wrong. :)
DJ Bradley February 29, 2012 at 10:34 PM
We let the small businesses fail...some we learned were too big to fail, and apparently they have been for years. I agree that we shouldn't be chunking money away to the corporations but we do, and have been long before President Obama. Well if I am right, which I always am, you have to be less right (or wrong). :) I do agree that left/right is a matter of perspective, but I still offer that President Obama took a combo of right turns, including co-opting traditionally Republican policy; and left turns along the way that will help him come November. I can even point out where I think President Obama failed miserably: the NDAA and the Afghanistan strategy. I don't think the general public knows enough about either to hold it against him.
Jay Sykes February 29, 2012 at 11:21 PM
In bankruptcy, the union would not receive any monies, equity or otherwise, until the highest priority creditors(bond holders) were paid-in-full. If the pension fund was insolvent it would be administered by the PBGC.
DJ Bradley February 29, 2012 at 11:45 PM
He'll be sent back to Chicago promptly on a helicopter ride in January 2017.
DJ Bradley March 01, 2012 at 01:23 AM
I am not a fan of any politician, because they are after all politicians. I did not display any fanaticism in my post, just factual statements about his policies that can be looked up independent of me.
DJ Bradley March 01, 2012 at 01:29 AM
LOL@collecting his lint! I am personally better off than I was in 2008, but it has NOTHING to do with any politician. As far as the food/gas prices, and unemployment: this is the new normal, REGARDLESS of what party is in office.
St. Swithin March 01, 2012 at 02:20 AM
Sadly the Republican candidate's many flaws will be overlooked by a large percentage of the population which relies on Fox news as their only source of information, and we know that the Republican candidates are so deep in Rupert Murdoch's pocket they are collecting his lint. Voters are naive and incredibly ignorant but hopefully they will look at the facts: gas prices dropped steeply when Obama took office and are only now approaching the old high. Food prices are rose slightly by 2.3percent in the last year, showing a strengthening economy. The unemployment rate quit dropping once the stimulus bill was passed and is slowly improving. If people ask themselves 'would I like to have someone like Bush back?' Obama wins in a landslide and that my friend will be the best thing for America. There. I fixed that for ya AudiFan.
Born Free March 01, 2012 at 06:45 AM
Democrats, get off your high horses and dispense with the self righteousness because a leftist hypocrite is like a worn out shoe or should I say like a worn out hippie. I'm guessing, confidently, that none of you Democrat minions pretending to be humanitarians have yet to personally bite the bullet to buy with your own saved up dollars a health insurance policy for some poor disenfranchised family. Can't afford to? Bull! Do like the government does and borrow the money and make it your personal duty to make life a little more equal for someone (Marxism). If you took all of the liberal Bill & Malinda Gates' wealth combined with the liberal Senator John and Teresa Heinz (H. J. Heinz Tomato heir) Kerrys' wealth there would be enough there for the next ten years to pay for health insurance for all the people in the U.S. who don't have any. I mention them because of course they are members of the liberal collectivist party pretending to be caring humanitarians, it's all lip service. With so many poor people in this country how can the Gate's, the Kerry's and the wealthy Democrats in D.C. still be so stinking rich? One reason is there's no tax write off for directly helping individuals which say's volumes about their lack of character and how they really feel about poor people in general. SOVIET UNIONISM IS UNAMERICAN
Born Free March 01, 2012 at 07:43 AM
further more... You Democrat gun owners who are riding on the coat tails of the Republicans passage of the CCW permits in Wisconsin think that your CCW permit guarantee's that you will forever be able to own your guns then your dreaming. Your party and Hillary and the U.N. are hell bent on confiscating them via the SMALL ARMS TREATY they're orchastrating internationally with no regard to the 2nd Amendment. Unfortunately there are also a hand full Republicans left in Washington who also are dumb about the 2nd Amendment but they will be tossed out this November. Obama might have a billion to spend this year but he and his staff and the Democrat party have crossed too many lines so don't count your chickens before they hatch. Obama is only one piece of the puzzel that has to go therefore the race card that the Dems and the lame stream media will play will be totally useless this time around. His latest burn against the church has pretty much cooked his goose once and for all. No one will be able to forget the ACORN corruption and his connections to it, the first torpedo that hit him and the Dems broadside. The Democrat party is bleeding to death and to watch it operate with the union thugs in Madison last spring is more then enough to say the party is doomed.
Lyle Ruble March 01, 2012 at 01:21 PM
@Born Free...Your ramblings are not connected with reality. Do you proof your own comments? You are making assorted claims without the necessary logic to make any kind of reasonable connection.
DJ Bradley March 02, 2012 at 02:49 PM
AWD, I'm not gonna ban you or flag your comment. I don't agree with anything you said---but I will challenge you on one idea. It seems you believe that races should stick together, and that assumes that every member of a single race thinks the same way. If all White people had the same interests, ideas, and thoughts---voting all alike would work. If all Black people had the same interests, ideas, and thoughts--voting all alike would work. There is no monolithic White or Black, and as such you have Black people who are going to support Romney, and White people who will support Obama. I ask you to choose the candidate who represents YOUR best interests, whatever race they may be.

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